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Event Previous Forecast Actual
Nov, 19 16:00
Current Account (sa)
Current Account (sa)
Country:
Date: Nov, 19 16:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 23.9bln; 20.5bln
Forecast: 24.2bln
Actual: -
Period: Sep

  The Current Account summarizes the flow of goods, services, income and transfer payments into and out of the country. The report acts as a line-item record of how the domestic economy interacts with rest of the world. The Current Account is one of the three components that make up a country's Balance of Payments (Financial Account, Capital Account and Current Account), the detailed accounting of all international interactions. Where the other side of the Balance of Payments, Capital and Financial Accounts deal mainly with financial assets and investments, the Current Account gives a detailed breakdown of how the country intermingles with rest of the global economy on a non-investment basis - tracking good and services.

23.9bln; 20.5bln 24.2bln -
Nov, 19 18:00
Bundesbank Monthly Report
Bundesbank Monthly Report
Country:
Date: Nov, 19 18:00
Importance: Low
Previous: -
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: -

Market impact tends to be greater when the report reveals a viewpoint that clashes with the ECB's stance. It contains relevant articles, speeches, statistical tables, and provides detailed analysis of current and future economic conditions from the bank's viewpoint.

- - -
Nov, 19 22:00
NAHB Housing Market Index
NAHB Housing Market Index
Country:
Date: Nov, 19 22:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 68
Forecast: 67
Actual: -
Period: Nov

A timely gauge of home sales and expectations for future home building. Based on a small sample of homebuilders, the Housing Market Index is a timely indicator of future US home sales. However, as the index is not as comprehensive as formal housing reports like new home sales or MBA mortgage applications, the index acts more like a supplemental indicator for predicting housing trends.

As such, the NAHB Housing Market Index is still able to provide general insight to where the housing market is heading. Given that new home sales reflect 'big ticket' items that require construction and investment, the housing market is often viewed as an indicator of the direction of the economy as a whole. Growth in the housing market will spur subsequent spending, generating demand for goods and services and the employees who provide them.

The report headline is expressed in percentage change from the previous month. The NAHB Housing Market Index divides the Single-Family Sales data into three categories: Present, Next 6 Months and Prospective Buyers Traffic.

68 67 -
Nov, 19 22:45
★★
FOMC Member John C. Williams Speaks
FOMC Member John C. Williams Speaks
Country:
Date: Nov, 19 22:45
Importance: Medium
Previous: -
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: -

John C. Williams is President and CEO of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.

- - -
Nov, 20 07:30
★★★
Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes
Country:
Date: Nov, 20 07:30
Importance: High
Previous: -
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: -
It's a detailed record of the RBA Reserve Bank Board's most recent meeting, providing in-depth insights into the economic conditions that influenced their decision on where to set interest rates.
- - -
Nov, 20 14:00
PPI
PPI
Country:
Date: Nov, 20 14:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 0.5% m/m; 3.2% y/y
Forecast: 0.3% m/m; 3.3% y/y
Actual: -
Period: Oct

Measures changes in the selling prices producers charge for goods and services, and well as tracks how prices feed through the production process. Because producers tend to pass on higher costs to consumers as higher retail prices, the PPI is valuable as an early indicator of inflation. Simply put, inflation reflects a decline in the purchasing power of the Dollar, where each dollar buys fewer goods and services. The report also gives insight into how higher prices from raw materials flow toward the final product.

A rise in PPI signals an increase in inflationary pressures. Given the economic instability associated with rising price levels, the Fed often will raise interest rates to check inflation. A low or falling PPI is indicative of declining prices, and may suggest an economic slowdown.

The headline figure is expressed in percentage change of producer price.

Notes: The PPI records prices at various stages of production: raw goods, intermediate goods and finished goods. Though intermediate and crude goods prices do provide insight for future inflationary pressure, it is the price of finished goods that generates most interest for market participants. The finished goods data is able to gauge price pressure before the goods reach the retail market.

0.5% m/m; 3.2% y/y 0.3% m/m; 3.3% y/y -
Nov, 20 14:00
Trade Balance
Trade Balance
Country:
Date: Nov, 20 14:00
Importance: Low
Previous: 2.43bln
Forecast: 2.89bln
Actual: -
Period: Oct

A country's trade balance reflects the difference between exports and imports of goods and services. The trade balance is one of the biggest components of the Balance of Payment, giving valuable insight into pressures on country's currency.

Surpluses and Deficits
A positive Trade Balance (surplus) indicates that exports are greater than imports. When imports exceed exports, the country experiences a trade deficit. Because foreign goods are usually purchased using foreign currency, trade deficits usually reflect currency leaking out of the country. Such currency outflows may lead to a natural depreciation unless countered by comparable capital inflows (inflows in the form of investments, FDI - where foreigners investing in local equity, bond or real estates markets). At a bare minimum, deficits fundamentally weigh down the value of the currency.

Ramifications of Trade Balance on Markets
There are a number of factors that work to diminish the market impact of Trade Balance upon immediate release. The report is not very timely, coming some time after the reporting period. Developments in many of the figure's components are also typically anticipated well beforehand. Lastly, since the report reflects data for a specific reporting month or quarter, any significant changes in the Trade Balance should plausibly have already been felt during that period - and not during the release of data.

However, because of the overall significance of Trade Balance data in forecasting trends in the Forex Market, the release has historically been one of the most important reports out of the any country.

2.43bln 2.89bln -
Nov, 20 15:20
★★★
RBA Governor Philip Lowe Speaks
RBA Governor Philip Lowe Speaks
Country:
Date: Nov, 20 15:20
Importance: High
Previous: -
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: -
RBA Governor Oct 2016 - Sep 2023. Volatility is often experienced during his speeches as traders attempt to decipher interest rate clues. As head of the central bank, which controls short term interest rates, he has more influence over the nation's currency value than any other person. Traders scrutinize his public engagements as they are often used to drop subtle clues regarding future monetary policy.
- - -
Nov, 20 17:00
★★★
Inflation Report Hearings
Inflation Report Hearings
Country:
Date: Nov, 20 17:00
Importance: High
Previous: -
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: -

The Governor and other members of the Monetary Policy Committee give evidence on a regular basis before the Treasury Committee.

- - -
Nov, 20 17:00
★★★
BOE Governor Mark Carney Speaks
BOE Governor Mark Carney Speaks
Country:
Date: Nov, 20 17:00
Importance: High
Previous: -
Forecast: -
Actual: -
Period: -

Mark Joseph Carney is the current Governor of the Bank of England and the Chairman of the G20's Financial Stability Board. He was also the eighth Governor of the Bank of Canada. Carney achieved these positions by working his way up the ranks of Goldman Sachs, the Canadian Department of Finance, and the Bank of Canada as Deputy Governor.

- - -
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